Cuomo backs Throne-Holst

On: By: admin

Governor Cuomo has endorsed Anna Throne-Holst:

“… The governor also said Throne-Holst will work to address “common-sense gun control laws” … Cuomo noted that Zeldin opposed the SAFE Act when he was a member of the Senate Republican conference, and has voted against gun control measures since arriving in Congress. “Senseless acts of violence continue to claim the lives of too many citizens across our state and country, and this issue is critical to the people of Suffolk County,” the governor said. “Lee Zeldin has allowed the grip of the NRA to persuade his positions, forgoing the needs of his constituents for the deep pockets of the gun lobby.” …”

What is his endorsement actually worth?  Probably not a lot and even less when it is based upon an unpopular issue.  Cuomo gets a lot of criticism for not helping to elect fellow Democrats.  This is an easy way for him to appear to be doing something for them, while not really putting a lot of effort into it.

Zeldin is one of the few bright spots in the NY Republican conference.  I don’t think he is going to waffle on the issue because of this.

New ads

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A couple of new campaign ads are out, the first by the NRA:

Doesn’t look bad, but I question how effective it will be as it is a bit vague. It doesn’t specifically say not to vote for Hillary or vote for The Donald.

The second ad is by Trump:

I like this one. Good imagery and narration. Only downside is Uncle Ted who is an asshole. If he presented himself like this all the time I’d have more respect for him. Nevertheless, I think it is an effective ad.

Define “winning”

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Headline from Politico, “2016 state primary results: Senate GOP among big winners“:

“One of the biggest winners in the scores of primaries in New York on Tuesday night was the state Senate’s Republican conference. In each of the three primaries for open seats that the GOP has a chance of winning, the candidates backed by party officials seem to have won …”

Big deal.  The party machine overpowered some minor opposition candidates in primaries.

“… But in the open seat that gained the most attention, the end result was the best possible result for Republicans. Marisol Alcanatara, who was heavily funded by the Independent Democratic Conference and committed to joining the breakaway conference Tuesday night, likely edged out her two competitors in the West Side and Harlem …”

This is what is passing for good news.

Alcanatara is very far Left.  Her caucusing with the IDC empowers Jeff Klein.  I believe the Republicans will once again need the IDC only this time around they will be in an even weaker position facing a more powerful Klein.  He is going to want stuff from them.

New Hillary ad featuring Richard Hanna

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New ad from Hillary featuring outgoing Congressman Richard Hanna:

The ad is scheduled to run in various swing-states, not locally.

R.I.P. Bill Nojay

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Assemblyman Bill Nojay committed suicide yesterday.

He was one of the loudest pro-gun voices in the legislature and will be sorely missed.

Optimism

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Some more reasons for optimism in the CD-22 race between Claudia Tenney, Kim Myers and Martin Babinec.  I believe Tenney is leading the group.

First, there are two biased polls, one by the DCCC and another by a Republican-leaning group, which indicate Tenney is either tied or a little ahead of Myers.

Second, a Democrat super PAC is doing a big attack ad campaign against Tenney.  If Myers were out in front they would not be doing that.

With it being a three-way race a candidate only needs a plurality of votes to win.  Tenney had some issues with local Republicans, but appears to have gotten past that.

Antis endorse Anna Throne-Holst

On: By: admin

New Yorkers Against Gun Violence has endorsed Anna Throne-Holst in her campaign against pro-gun incumbent Congressman Lee Zeldin.

I’m not expecting much to come of this except for a brief press conference that will largely be ignored by both the media and general public.

Jeff Klein rising

On: By: admin

A follow-up to my previous post:

“… [Sen. Jeffrey Klein] since the end of the legislative session has repeatedly been publicly complimentary of the Senate Independent Democratic Conference’s relationship with the Republicans and even showed up last week with Senate GOP Majority Leader John Flanagan at the state fair in Syracuse. Whether it’s a sign he has no intention striking a leadership deal with the mainline Democrats to give them the majority or whether he’s using it as a negotiating tactic to increase his conference’s power won’t likely become clear until after the November elections …”

It’s both.

Klein probably thinks as I do that the Republicans will lose at least one or two Senate seats and will have to form a governing coalition with the IDC in the upper chamber.  Doing this will give Klein more clout than he would have if he rejoined with the mainline Democrats.

Throne-Holst attacks Zeldin on guns

On: By: admin

Challenger Ann Throne-Holst tries attacking incumbent Congressman Lee Zeldin in CD-1.

I don’t think the ad is very effective.

Read the signs

On: By: admin

I have said before that I believe the Republicans will have to form a coalition with the IDC next year.  If we follow the money trail there is more evidence pointing in that direction.

First from SEIU:

“A powerful union with close ties to both Gov. Cuomo and Mayor de Blasio is throwing its money behind the Republican Party’s bid to maintain control of the state Senate. Health care workers Local 1199/SEIU pumped $100,000 into the coffers of the Senate Republican Campaign Committee …”

Now from NYSUT:

“The New York State United Teachers union’s main political giving apparatus contributed $56,100 to the Senate Republican Campaign Committee, according to a Board of Elections filing. With the donation, NYSUT’s VOTE/COPE has contributed the maximum this cycle — $109,600 — to the main fundraising arm of the Senate Republicans as the conference seek to maintain control of the chamber this year …”

This smells of a 3-way deal between Cuomo, John Flanagan and Jeff Klein with the Governor being the decision maker.