24
Aug
stored in: Elections 2016 and tagged:

NRA has a media buy for the Trump campaign starting next month:

“… The NRA’s political victory fund has reserved about $2.7 million in TV commercials from the week of Sept. 5 through the week of Oct. 18, Kantar Media’s political ad tracker shows. Most ads are set to begin Sept. 20. Like the Republican presidential nominee’s campaign, the NRA is focusing on Ohio, North Carolina and Pennsylvania. The group also will advertise across the country … In all, the NRA is on track to spend at least $7.6 million on presidential commercials, Kantar Media shows …”

24
Aug
stored in: Elections 2016 and tagged:

More evidence that Republicans will not have a majority in the State Senate next year:

“… Marisol Alcantara … is seen by many in her Uptown district as a liberal firebrand … Alcantara’s candidacy is also backed by the Senate Independent Democratic Conference, or IDC, which she has pledged to join if elected, a scenario that may enable Senate Republicans to keep control of the chamber in a year when mainline Democrats believe they have the best chance to take power and see all major parts of state government run by the party …”

Other than campaign money, the only reason to join the IDC would be if she believes they are going to be in a more advantageous position next year than the mainline caucus.  That happens if the Republicans don’t pick up seats or lose a few they currently hold.

24
Aug

Bloomberg goes on the attack against Trump:

“One of the most powerful moments at the Democratic National Convention last month was when gun-control proponent Mike Bloomberg unloaded his verbal assault weapon on Donald Trump … On the apparent theory that any friend of his enemy is an enemy, too, Bloomberg is going after Republican politicians who are supporting Trump — and he is also getting behind those who have declined to endorse their party’s nominee … On Friday, the Bloomberg-funded Independence USA PAC began running TV ads against incumbent Republican Senator Kelly Ayotte of New Hampshire … On the flip side, Independence USA is backing incumbent Republican Senator Pat Toomey of Pennsylvania …”

I think this is less about Trump and more about gun control.  Ayotte jumped on the Democrats phony terrorist watch list gun ban bandwagon while Toomey supported mandatory background checks.

18
Aug
stored in: Elections 2016, Politics and tagged:

Jack Martins is one of the Long Island Republicans who screwed us over the SAFE Act.  Things have not been going well for him since then.

Martins had to give up his Senate seat for a Congressional bid in CD-3.  His attempt to block a primary with Philip Pidot failed with a judge ordering one in October.  While he’ll probably easily win it, polling shows he behind Democrat Tom Suozzi.

The poll is likely biased, but I do believe Martins is in trouble given the Democrat enrollment advantage in the district as well as the down-ballot Trump effect.

16
Aug

Brooklyn Borough President Eric Adams is putting up $1 million (in taxpayer dollars) in a “smart gun” design competition:

“Today, Brooklyn Borough President Eric L. Adams kicked off his Smart Gun Design Competition, calling on teams from colleges and universities in New York City, such as the New York City College of Technology, the New York University Tandon School of Engineering, and Pratt Institute, to create the technology that will prevent unauthorized users from firing a gun. At the conclusion of the competition — held in collaboration with the Mayor’s Office of Criminal Justice (MOCJ), New Yorkers Against Gun Violence (NYAGV), and the Smart Tech Challenge Foundation — Borough President Adams will award a $1 million prize from his capital budget to the institution that has designed the best smart gun …”

If this is such a good idea then why aren’t private investors putting up the cash? Probably something to due to the fact that numerous people have been messing around with the idea for like 50 years with not much to show for it.

“… “We expect every other product, from cars to children’s toys, to include safety features that protect the safety of authorized users,” said Borough President Adams. “We need to start applying the same basic principle to firearms, which kill tens of thousands of people each year, often in suicides or accidental shootings that smart gun technology has the potential to prevent. Additionally, as a former police officer, I know from personal experience the deadly consequences of illegal guns on the streets of New York City …””

He loves bringing up the fact he is a former police officer, like that makes him an expert on firearms.

Here’s a video from awhile back of our expert demonstrating his skills by having a finger on the trigger while pointing the muzzle at his own face, 4:05 mark.

15
Aug

With the latest polls showing Hillary crushing The Donald in New York, both Republicans and Governor Cuomo are worried about the fallout.

First is Senator Jack Martins:

Republican Jack Martins, running for Congress in a battleground Long Island district, is among the Republicans this year who are not endorsing Donald Trump, but still voting for him this year.  In an interview with Bill Samuels’s Effective Radio on AM 970 this weekend, Martins acknowledged both Trump and Hillary Clinton are “flawed candidates.” … “Thankfully, I’ve always run as an individual. I’ve had the opportunity through elective office to take stances of different things and people know who I am, so I’ve been able to use that and show through experience that I listen, I work across the aisle, I get things done,” Martins said …”

This mealy-mouthed answer is the best he could come up with running against a guy who has been busy registering the dead?

Next is Cuomo:

“Gov. Cuomo’s new commitment to Democratic control of the state Senate after years of backing Republicans is a direct result of Donald Trump’s sinking presidential campaign and the possibility it will take GOP senators down with it, senior Democrats told The Post. They also said Cuomo’s new stance … results from his fear that anything short of genuine support for fellow Democrats this year could blow up in his face in the form of a primary campaign against him in 2018 …”

The possibility that Cuomo could get knocked out by the Trump train is one of the few positive aspects I can think of about his campaign.

“… Another prominent Democrat said private polling data showing Trump’s support in New York state sharply declining over the past two weeks convinced Cuomo “that the Democrats have a good chance to take the Senate anyway, so he might as well get on board.” “The polls indicate that several Long Island Republicans may be swept out to sea because of Trump’s unpopularity,’’ the Democrat continued, naming Sens. Kemp Hannon and Carl Marcellino (R-Nassau) as being especially vulnerable …”

Not just on the Island.  There are ~4000 newly registered Democrats in Bill Larkin’s district so he could go.  Plus he turns 89 soon.

Republicans have a chance at a pickup in Buffalo with Chris Jacobs, who is popular and wealthy, but SD-60 is still nearly 2-1 Democrat.  Even if he wins, right now I expect Republicans down 1-2 Senate seats.

12
Aug
stored in: Elections 2016 and tagged:

With the boat anchor that is the Trump campaign dragging down candidates across the country, there appears to be a bright spot in CD-22.  According to State of Politics, the DNC is concerned enough about 3rd party candidate Martin Babinec to start following him around.

This is one of the districts I had thought the GOP would lose because Claudia Tenney had some problems getting the party to back her.  If the DNC is worried about Babinec siphoning votes away from Kim Myers I am more optimistic Tenney will go the distance.  There is a small Republican majority in the district.



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