Six million dollar man

Governor Cuomo raised $5 million in the first half of this year for his 2018 re-election campaign bringing the total in his bank account to $25.7 million.

He raised an additional $1 million to be used to oust New York House Republicans.

New Yorkers don’t want him to run for President, but I see him doing a repeat of 2014 where he threatens to use this money against Republican Senators and the GOP essentially gives him a pass on a 3rd term as Governor.  I have not even heard anything recently about potential GOP gubernatorial candidates.  There’s just nothing.

#NY22 campaign is going to be ugly

If this article in the Press & Sun-Bulletin is any indication, next year’s race for the 22nd Congressional District is going to be very ugly:

“… Rep. Claudia Tenney is already launching a character attack against her new opponent, Assemblyman Anthony Brindisi, by making an issue of his father’s “notorious” background as a lawyer who decades ago represented defendants with ties to organized crime …”


“… While Democrats are pushing his moderate record and “A” rating from the National Rifle Association, she called him a liberal progressive who is part of “the machine in Albany.” …”

I’d say both are true.

If it is this nasty now, what is this race going to look like six months down the road?

Republican challenger for Collins

A slew of potential Democrats have announced their intentions to challenge upstate Republican Congressmen.

In CD-27, Rep. Chris Collins has a Republican challenger Frank C. Smierciak II.

According to The Daily News he’s big on guns:

“… Well I think, first off, the (NY SAFE Act) needs to be repealed completely. Same with the pistol permitting process. I believe strongly in constitutional carry nationwide, and that’s because it’s your right to own whatever firearm you want, to have one for protection — personal protection, for home defense, whatever you want to have it for …”

To be fair, Collins does co-sponsor H.R.38 which supports both licenses to carry and constitutional carry.

“… Well, Collins hasn’t done all that much regarding the Second Amendment. He has voiced his support saying that the SAFE Act should be repealed but he hasn’t really done much for that. In terms of pistol permitting, he has gotten behind the concealed carry reciprocity bill … The flaw with the concealed reciprocity bill is it has this little caveat in it that says states must recognize permits from other states as long as they allow their own residents to carry. Well that’s pretty easily opening the door for states like New York or California to just outright deny people the right to carry …”

Collins cannot do anything about the SAFE Act because it is a state law.

Smierciak concerns about the reciprocity bill are unfounded.  New York will never outlaw concealed carry because politicians use may-issue to shake down people for money and favors.

It remains to be seen whether or not Smierciak can put together the resources to seriously challenge Collins.

Brindisi v. Tenney

Assemblyman Anthony Brindisi announced his intention to run against Congresswoman Claudia Tenney next year in CD-22.

This is going to be one of the more interesting races in 2018.  The district has traditionally been held by moderate to RINO Republicans while Tenney is much more conservative.  Brindisi is a moderate Democrat who might fit the district demographics better than Tenney.

On guns:

“… Brindisi has also shown an independent streak as a Democratic moderate, at times criticizing Gov. Andrew Cuomo. But some of his credentials will likely appeal to conservatives, including his top “A” rating from the National Rifle Association …”

Brindisi has been supportive of gun rights while in the Assembly and deserves the grade.

Tenney, however, has been vocal in her 2A support and for Remington.  From a pure gun rights standpoint, she is the stronger candidate.

DCCC challenger for Tom Reed

The DCCC is targeting New York Republicans:

“These days it’s easier to say who the Democratic Congressional Committee isn’t targeting. The committee is actively recruiting candidates and fundraising against every Republican member of Congress in New York with the exception of Long Island Representative Peter King … Of the 79 Republican seats currently targeted, eight are in New York …”

A challenger for Tom Reed has emerged:

“… Rick Gallant, a longtime teacher and union activist from the Corning area, announced that he will challenge Reed next year in New York’s 23rd Congressional District, which covers much of the Southern Tier and part of the Finger Lakes … This will be the third consecutive election in which the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has targeted Reed, who won by wide margins both times nevertheless … Asked about gun control – another issue important in the district – he said: “I am all for responsible gun ownership.” Part of that, though, would be legislation keeping guns out of the hands of the seriously mentally ill, he added …”

That caveat means he’ll support the Bloomberg gun control agenda.

Junior considering running for Governor

Donald Trump, Jr. floated the idea of running for Governor next year.

What does he bring to the table?



  • The Trump name.  All the people who still have not gotten over the ’16 election will come out in force in an effort to defeat him and humiliate his old man.
  • The New York Republican Party.

The Republicans could do a lot worse than to put him up as their candidate.

Zeldin v. Thiele

It’s a bit early to start with the ’18 elections, but Newsday reports, “A potential challenger for Lee Zeldin emerges“:

“… Democratic leaders on the East End have approached Fred Thiele, a long-term member of the State Assembly, about making a run. And Thiele is considering it …”

Thiele’s record on gun issues is to support the antigun position about 95% of the time.

The good thing about him running against Zeldin is that Thiele would have to give up his Assembly seat to do it, opening up the possibility of getting someone better in his place.

Reaction to a Governor Flanagan

Some blowback at Ed Cox for talking down the possibility of Governor Flanagan:

“… State Republican Chairman Ed Cox’s quick dismissal of talk that state Senate GOP Majority Leader John Flanagan might run for governor in 2018 left some in his party “stunned” and “frustrated.” … Patrick McCarthy, a former state party executive director, was among those who couldn’t understand why his party leader publicly dissed Flanagan, the state’s highest ranking elected Republican …”

Because the notion of him running was so ludicrous it needed to be squashed before it had the chance to take hold and do more damage to the party.

“… At least two Republicans lay some of the blame for the recent uproar on Flanagan himself. They say if he knew word was leaking out that he is considering a gubernatorial run, he should have alerted Cox, who those close to him say was taken by surprise when asked about it by reporters shortly after the report surfaced …”

The public smackdown was much more appropriate.

“… The GOPer said a Flanagan candidacy would face significant hurdles, particularly among upstaters who are angry he voted for Gov. Cuomo’s controversial SAFE Act gun control law. The insider said if Flanagan wants to have a chance to win upstaters back, he’d bring legislation to the floor to repeal the SAFE Act this year. “Some might be criticizing Ed for his response, but I guarantee you there’s an equal amount who were pleased with it,” said one high-profile Republican …”

No, a whole lot of people were happy with Cox’s response.

Senate Republicans will never bring a repeal bill up for a vote because it would require many of their conference to admit they were wrong.  Even if they did there’s no reason for the Assembly to follow suit.  The Republicans simply do not have enough political clout to move much of an agenda.  They have to go along with Cuomo and the Democrats or the hammer will come down on them, they will lose control of the Senate, and that will be the end of it for the party.

Governor Flanagan

Some rumor-mongering from Newsday:

Senate Majority Leader John Flanagan, a Long Islander who has clashed with Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo in recent weeks, is considering a Republican run for governor in 2018, according to three Republicans who spoke to Flanagan about the bid. “Yes, I’ve heard him say that,” one Republican said. “I think a lot of people are talking about him,” another prominent Republican said. “He’s the right age, the right demographic, has been successful in retaining the Senate majority and certainly has the respect statewide and not just as Senate majority leader.” …”

Successful?  The only reason for his “success” is because Cuomo and some Democrats want him to be in charge of the Senate.

Respect?  He’s Cuomo’s butt-monkey!

“… As a Republican he could attract the upstate support as well, but his vote for Cuomo’s SAFE Act gun control measure could hurt him among more conservative voters …”

It’s way more than that.

The idea of him running was so absurd that Ed Cox threw cold water on the idea:

“Republican Chairman Ed Cox on Wednesday in a Capital Tonight interview dismissed reports Senate Majority Leader John Flanagan is contemplating a run for governor in 2018. “Let me say, he is not thinking about it,” Cox said in the interview to air tonight on TWC News. “He is focused on his job as majority leader of the state Senate — a tough job — particularly when you have a governor who for the first time in two centuries was not delivered to the legislators.”” …”

He’s not thinking about it because so many people were laughing out loud after reading that piece in Newsday.

Hanna floating ’18 run

Outgoing Congressman Richard Hanna is floating the idea of a ’18 gubernatorial bid:

“U.S. Rep. Richard Hanna said today he will consider running for governor of New York in 2018, responding to the encouragement of at least a dozen top Republicans from across the state who approached him with the idea … Hanna declined to disclose the names of Republicans who have approached him to run for governor, but he said he has received calls from influential members of the party in the New York City area as well as Upstate …”

I don’t know him personally and I’ve only spoken to him once.  Let’s examine what he brings to the table.


  • Being a 3-term Congressman gives him some credibility as a candidate
  • Generally positive record on 2A issues
  • Might have some crossover appeal to Democrats


  • Does not have the best relationship with local Republicans
  • Not well known outside his CNY district
  • Unremarkable career in Congress

I heard talk of him running once before.  This looks like a trail balloon to determine interest in his candidacy.

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