I did a successful GOTV against Suozzi back in ’13 when he tried running for re-election as Nassau Co. Executive. He tried running hard on gun control and it didn’t help. This ad is lame. It might help a little in the primary, but not much.
The Buffalo News editorializes on Erie Sheriff Tim Howard’s re-election:
“… An incumbent Republican sheriff who bashed the governor’s gun control law from January through Election Day and easily won re-election … Howard, who posted an impressive 52 percent victory in his three-way contest, is adamant about what the results say. “If Albany and the governor want to win the support of the people of Erie County, they’ve got to listen to us,” the sheriff said. “Nobody seems to measure the feeling. And it’s not about guns; it’s about the Constitution.” …”
Some downstate media pundits were saying that the Nassau and Westchester County Executive races would be a referendum on SAFE. Haven’t seen a follow-up similar to the Buffalo News op-ed from any of them yet.
No doubt Bloomberg will gloat and McAuliffe will make noise for the next four years, although I suspect in the end the two will accomplish very little in the state other than to embarrass NRA at every opportunity. I have no sympathy for them. NRA has never put money like that into states like New York which have serious problems. They couldn’t even be bothered to complete the candidate ratings last year.
“… Mr. Suozzi conceded around 11 p.m., and told a television interviewer minutes later: “Their message was better and simpler to understand. It was about taxes, and they won.” …”
So, those 4 big flyers on gun control didn’t help?
“… The fact that Mr. Mangano, a 51-year-old lawyer with a Long Island accent, refused to distance himself from Tea Party positions on … gun control were expected by Suozzi forces to stimulate more voting by Jewish, African-American and Hispanic Democrats and independents …”
Typical biased reporting from the NY Times assumes these groups are in favor of gun control. Where did Mangano’s 59.1% of the vote come from then?
The Times then tries to spin the issue in Westchester, even though Gnome lost:
“… Gun control was a surprisingly resonant issue in Westchester, where Mr. Bramson, 43, the Harvard-educated mayor of New Rochelle, hammered home Mr. Astorino’s resumption of gun shows at the county cultural center after a 10-year hiatus. That struck a nerve with voters like Mady Edelstein, a retired lawyer, as she cast her ballot at the Chatsworth Avenue School in Larchmont. “Bringing gun shows to the county center is deplorable,” she said. “You pick up the paper every day and someone mentally disturbed or sufficiently angry is picking up a gun and has the capacity to wreak havoc.” …”
Then why did he lose with 45.1% to Rob Astorino’s 54.9%?
All the antigun crap doesn’t appear to have helped either Suozzi or Bramson. NRA-ILA did a last minute postcard mailing on behalf of Mangano as well.
Vote early, Vote often, Vote Tammany ….
Time for an endorsement deathmatch.
On the pro-gun side for Nassau County Executive
- Ed Mangano, endorsed by NYSRPA-PVF
- NYSRPA-PVF postcard mailer informing members of Tom Suozzi’s intention to promote gun control
On the antigun side for Nassau County Executive
On the pro-gun side for Westchester County Executive
- Rob Astorino, endorsed by Westchester County Firearm Owners Association
- Postcard mailer by NYSRPA-PVF informing members of Noam Bramson’s record
On the antigun side for Westchester County Executive
- Noam Bramson, endorsed by New Yorkers Against Gun Violence
- Dog-and-pony press conference in front of the Westchester County Center
— Noam Bramson (@NoamBramson) October 8, 2013
Several things come to mind:
- The fact that the poll was done by the campaign and not an outside source like Quinnipiac makes it suspect. When has a campaign ever released a poll showing that their candidate is perceived to be a stinking turd?
- They use a small sample.
- They don’t list what questions were asked.
- Bramson’s endorsement from New Yorkers Against Gun Violence isn’t putting him over the top.