All about guns, legislation and politics in New York
NY GOP party chief Ed Cox speaks:
Cuomo's SAFE Act "insulted the people of upstate New York. He'll never cure that," Cox says.
— Capitol Confidential (@TUCapCon) December 5, 2013
Yes Ed, and you are going to do what with this? It is my understanding that you have no interest in making guns an issue in next years gubernatorial election because you think you’ve already got the gun vote locked up.
“A group of Republican state legislators and political operatives are set to meet with Donald Trump on Wednesday in an attempt to convince him to run for governor, the Daily News has learned. The Republican contingent will travel to Trump’s New York City office for what they recognize is a long-shot plea, said Assemblyman David DiPietro … “As Republicans we need to cast a pretty wide net and find the best candidate to beat Gov. Cuomo and we think that Mr. Trump can beat Mr. Cuomo,” DiPietro said …”
Bullshit.
The one and only one reason they are considering this is because they believe Trump could self-finance his own campaign.
From Fred Dicker’s latest column:
“Gov. Chris Christie’s “bizarre behavior’’ in refusing to say he’ll support a possible GOP challenger [Rob Astorino] to Gov. Cuomo next year could derail his chances to become president, state and national GOP insiders have told The Post … Cuomo claimed last week that Christie, the new head of the Republican Governors Association — an organization whose purpose is to elect GOP governors — had quickly called him to say The Post was wrong in reporting the New Jersey governor was ready to back Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino, should he become the Republican nominee for governor next”
Who knows what exactly was said between Christie and Cuomo. It is possible Cuomo views Christie as a potential ’16 opponent and is deliberately screwing with him in hopes of derailing a presidential bid.
“… Democratic insiders say Cuomo and his political aides are engaged in an all-out effort to pressure Astorino not to run for governor next year. “They’re trying to head off contributors to Astorino, spreading the word that he’s not going to run, trying to convince Republican money people that he doesn’t have a chance, and letting it be known that the governor won’t be happy with those who go with him,’’ said a source close to the state Democratic Committee …”
And now we know where Greg David’s fawning pro-Cuomo op-ed comes from.
If Cuomo and his agenda are really that popular, then what does it matter if Astorino runs against him or not? He’d just roll right over him. This reinforces my belief that behind the scenes Cuomo realizes he’s made a big mistake with SAFE and while he still believes he will be re-elected Governor next year, he sees his opportunity on the national stage slipping away.
Greg David’s op-ed, “Run against Cuomo? A reality check“, needs a good fisking:
“You will raise no money. Mr. Cuomo’s war chest was bulging with about $30 million as of Aug. 1, and he maintains the ability to raise almost whatever sum he wants. He will not only seek contributions, he will make it clear that anyone who gives to you will become an enemy …”
Yes, Cuomo has a lot of money and yes, he will think of anyone who donates to his opponent as an enemy, but there is no reason to think that Rob Astorino (or Ed Mangano) would not be able to raise a respectable amount of money if they run serious campaigns, something the NY GOP has not done recently for statewide races.
“… Mr. Cuomo has a real record and you really don’t. Fundamentally, the governor has restrained state spending, cut taxes on the middle class, reformed Medicaid, stood by education reform, fought public-sector unions to curb retirement costs, won gun-control legislation and tamed one of the world’s worst legislatures …”
Fundamentally, taxes and spending are up under Cuomo. The state budget is larger now than it was four years ago and the economic climate is worse. Westchester’s budget is actually smaller now then when Astorino first took office. Gun control has cost Cuomo at least 25 points off his approval rating and as for taming the state legislature, that is just laughable.
“… You have no winning issues to run on …”
See above, plus hyrofracking for upstate jobs and cheaper, cleaner energy for downstate.
“… Look at history …”
Partially true, given the low quality candidates the Republicans have run as of late. The key is taking the race seriously. If whomever gets the nomination looks like loser cannon-fodder they are doomed.
The R&P will be co-hosting a meet the candidates event next Wednesday in Putnam Co.
Of the possible candidates, the only one I’ve met personally is former Dutchess Co. Legislator John Forman. The one known anti is Poughkeepsie Mayor John Tkazyik, who is a MAIG member and took Bloomberg money during his last election.
A handful of local antis are once again trying to intimidate Rep. Michael Grimm:
“… “We’re asking Michael Grimm to support that legislation which would essentially close the gun show loophole as well as prevent the Internet sale of guns to go unchecked,” activist Phil Jonas said. He and a group of about 20 demonstrators rallied in support of the legislation — known as the Toomey-Manchin Amendment in the Senate, named for sponsors Sens. Joe Manchin (D-W.V.) and Pat Toomey (R-Pa.) …”
The bill blew up in the Senate, not the House, so pestering Grimm about it isn’t going to advance their agenda.
“… Jonas and others cited figures showing only 60 percent of gun sales are subject to background checks, prompting teacher Teresa Caliari of Bulls Head to lead a chant: “60 percent is not enough!” “The voice of the American people matter more, and the voice of the Staten Island people matter more,” she said …”
If the “voice of the American people” matter, why did the bill they’re advocating fail?
“… The 60-vote threshold was agreed to in part to avoid wasted floor time for what would be an inevitable filibuster on background checks and other amendments. Democrats also did not want to hold a 51-vote threshold for a sweeping GOP measure to expand concealed carry rights, for fear that it would pass and poison the underlying legislation …”
It failed because Senate Democrats did not want to listen to the “voice of the American people.”
“… A Grimm spokeswoman didn’t return a request for comment early Saturday afternoon …”
Because it’s a dead issue in Congress.
Here is video from Monticello Mayor Gordon Jenkins’ arrest last week.
He is still listed as a member of MAIG.
Senate Democrats voted to curb use of the filibuster for judicial nominees.
Rosslyn Smith at the American Thinker writes that NRA could have a field day over this as every possible nominee could be used for determining incumbent candidate ratings. On last nights Kelly File she theorized that if Republicans regain the majority next year they could expand on this rule change to push a straight repeal of Obamacare though. Along those same lines they could also move the nationwide reciprocity bill through over the objections of Schumer and Co. as it had 58 votes last time it came up.