Mar 30, 2016 Elections 2016
“… When asked if he would keep the pledge he signed last September, Trump responded “No, I won’t.” The real estate mogul explained that he was taking back the pledge because, “I have been treated very unfairly,” and listed the Republican National Committee and party establishment among those he believes have wronged him …”
Trump is crying foul because the ~35-40% plurality he’s won in the states is nowhere close to what he would need to win the general election. Worse, his popularity continues to decline:
Trump has a 70.2 % unfavorable rating in Marquette Poll
— Michael Tackett (@tackettdc) March 30, 2016
This means he is only slightly more popular than standing downwind from a burning tire.
The possibility of the Republicans losing control of the House has even come up. We are not there yet, but if the campaign keeps stuff like this up it could go up for grabs. I would not have thought that possible last summer.
Hopefully breaking his pledge will encourage more people to abandon his campaign.
Nothing unusual about this. A couple Democrat Senators do this just about every year with the same results, the Notice of Committee Consideration is rejected on a party line vote. Krueger knows this is going to happen but she does it anyway to promote the antigun agenda.
The Republicans never do this in the Assembly with pro-gun bills (or any of their agenda items). They would fail the exact same way, but it would show people that they at least care about the issue and give voters a reason to support them, not to mention it being great fundraising material. Instead, the Republicans make excuses about NYC being in control for not making any symbolic effort. This is why they will remain a tiny minority in the lower chamber and will probably soon become a permanent minority in the upper chamber as well.
Mar 24, 2016 Moonbattery
“… As part of his bid for leniency, Gage pointed to Skelos’ “most notable legislative achievements” — including the SAFE Act, the politically contentious series of gun-control laws passed in 2013 … Gage’s sentencing memo included a quote from a letter written by Paul Weidenbaum, an attorney and Skelos ally who said the lawmaker was “instrumental” in passing the SAFE Act.” …”
I’m thinking an extended stay in federal prison is in order based on that statement alone.
Mar 23, 2016 Local Legislation
It has been brought to my attention that someone in the Orange County Legislature plans to introduce a local bill requiring premesis-only pistol licenses be issued by the county, no carry.
That would not be legal as the county does not have home-rule authority. We’ll have to wait and see if any such bill is introduced at the next meeting of the county legislature set for April 8.
Mar 23, 2016 Elections 2016
There has been a spike in voter registration in New York:
“… Between March 10 and March 20, MyDMV, the state’s online voter registration system, processed more than 40,883 voter registration applications, including 20,889 from first-time voters. MyDMV also set an all-time record on Friday, March 18 with 13,961 voter registration applications received, including 7,128 from first-time voters …”
Interesting, but it does not break the information down according to party affiliation or location. I am not aware of any recent large scale effort by the parties to sign up new people. I assume if either the Democrats or Republicans suddenly received a new block of registrations they would be crowing about it.
The New York City Council is calling for the state legislature to enact one-gun-a-month A-7026/S-2243 and microstamping A-6192A/S-1113A legislation as part of their 2016 NYS Legislative Agenda package.
Here is a link to their full list (PDF) of items they would like Albany to pass.
Mar 22, 2016 Jurisprudence
This sounds like a good thing, although I do not know just how good as the case involved a stun gun, not modern AR-type firearms. New York, like Massachusetts, prohibits stun gun possession except by police officers. I assume someone will bring a stun gun lawsuit here which references the Caetano decision at which point we’ll get a better idea of the importance of the ruling.
“Donald Trump took his outsider presidential campaign to the nation’s capital Monday, urging the Republican Party to accept him as the nominee even if he falls short of the required amount of delegates. “If people want to be smart, they should embrace this movement,” he said at a news conference … “If they don’t want to be smart, they should do what they’re doing now.” …”
That is not how it works.
Candidates who try to intimidate the party apparatus should be widely popular and leading in the polls. That is not what Trump is bringing to the table:
” … Trump is on the verge of two things once thought to be impossible: winning the Republican presidential nomination, and putting Republicans’ historically large House majority in danger … Trump’s remarkable rise in the GOP presidential race, and the backlash he has already provoked among the broader electorate, has suddenly raised the prospect of a large November wave against Trump and the Republicans who would share the ballot with him …”
How can the New York Republicans not be aware of this?
“… as the national GOP establishment continues to find ways of denying him the nomination at their convention in Cleveland this summer, Republicans in New York are divided. Privately, some Republican operatives admit the party is in a bind over whether to embrace Trump and the new voters he’s brought to the polls or run away from him and his vulgar, racially charged rhetoric ahead of the general election … And yet, some Republicans see Trump’s potential for a big margin of victory in the presidential primary, to be held the very same day as the special election, as a potential boon for the GOP candidate in the race, attorney Chris McGrath …”
While there is still some debate about the merits of the former option, the latter scenario appears unlikely given these two things.
First, a lot of Trump’s support comes from Democrats and disenchanted voters. Democrats cannot vote in the Republican primary so their only interest would be the special election. There is no reason to assume any Trump Democrats would vote for McGrath simply because they both share Row B. The latest poll shows Democrat Assemblyman Todd Kaminsky with a slight lead over McGrath.
Second, the effect Trump appears to be having on local congressional races has not been positive for Republican incumbents:
“… While a Donald Trump or Ted Cruz nomination “wouldn’t guarantee a down-ballot disaster,” Wasserman wrote, it would make congressional races much more difficult to predict, especially if Trump becomes the GOP standard bearer. Here are the 10 Cook ratings changes that favored Democrats: … Freshman Rep. John Katko (R-N.Y.) moves from Lean R to Toss Up … Rep. Tom Reed (R-N.Y.) moves from Likely R to Lean R … The ratings change in Reed’s upstate New York district came the same week that he endorsed Trump for president.” …”
That is not a good sign.
“Rep. Peter King said Senate Republicans should meet with and hold confirmation hearings on President Barack Obama’s Supreme Court nominee Merrick Garland — and then reject him in committee or in a floor vote …”
All that will do is give the Democrats an opportunity to co-ordinate with their kook Left allies and put on a dog and pony show in front the media that will make the Republicans look bad.
There is no legal obligation for the Senate to hold hearings or take up the nomination and the GOP leadership needs to hold the line on that.