Trump making noise

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Donald Trump continues to make noise about running for Governor.  I still don’t see him doing it, especially now that Rob Astorino has declared.  Nevertheless, he continues to make the rounds and was in Syracuse yesterday at a GOP function where he spoke on a number of issues including the SAFE Act:

“… You have the SAFE Act, which is a total catastrophe.  It’s hard to believe it even got passed.  Look, you’re sitting at home and a bad guy walks in with a gun.  At least you want to have a shot at it, right?  You don’t want to be defenseless … But this SAFE Act is a disaster.  Whoever ultimately is going to be the nominee for the Republicans, they better bring it up very loud and clear because that act is a catastrophe.  I call it the unSAFE Act …”

Cuomo preps antigun ad campaign

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The NY Post reports:

“Gov. Cuomo is expected to unleash a $10 million package of TV attack ads designed to “define’’ his newly announced Republican challenger, Rob Astorino, as a “right-wing nut,” … The negative commercials will be primarily aimed at convincing independent and moderate voters, especially women, that Astorino holds what Cuomo has already branded as “extreme conservative’’ views on … gun-ownership rights … Longtime Democratic consultant Hank Sheinkopf said he expected Cuomo to unleash a series of costly harsh attacks — with a price tag of “about $10 million.” …”

Bring it on.  Cuomo blew $400,000 last year on a series of ads last spring through his “New Yorkers for Gun Safety” PAC trying to convince people the SAFE Act is a good thing.  Then he directed the state Democrat committee to spend probably over $1 million in a series of five full color flyers attacking Ed Manago for not support SAFE during last years Nassau County Executives race which Mangano ended up winning by 20 points. In addition, Astorino’s opponent last year Noam Bramsom spent heavy on antigun ads (1,2) and all that got him was a 10 point loss in the general election.

2nd Amendment Rally in Horseheads

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Legislative Report #14

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Legislative Report #14 is now online.

NYAGV tries to intimidate Astorino

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Antis lame attempt at intimidation:

“New Yorkers Against Gun Violence called on Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino, a candidate for New York governor, to explain his opposition to the New York SAFE Act when he appears today in the Bronx.  Astorino has repeatedly criticized the landmark gun safety law, passed by a bipartisan legislature and signed by Governor Cuomo in January 2013.  He is on record as saying that it is “a bad law that accomplished nothing.” …”

Simple.  He doesn’t want his approval ratings to drop ~25% like Andrew’s did.  Given NYAGV tried and failed to make SAFE into a winning issue for their endorsed candidates in both the Westchester and Nassau County Executive’s races last year there is no reason for Astorino to pay any attention to them.

What God wants

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God wants you to have a fugly AR-15.

Schneiderman’s phony public relations stunt

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After Facebook tells antigun wackos they don’t sell guns, Eric Schneiderman sends out a press release touting an agreement with Facebook which doesn’t really do much of anything.

The NYC media will slobber all over Eric for this.

How Cuomo can lose

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Liz Benjamin inadvertently shows how Gov. Cuomo can lose in November:

“… Roughly speaking, here’s how the vote is likely to break down in November: Upstate will count for from 45 percent to half of the vote on Election Day, while downstate (in this case, for argument’s sake, everything south of Orange County) will make up the other half.  The suburbs north of New York City will be very much in play if, as it appears will be the case, Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino is the Republican candidate for governor.  Cuomo will get a cushion out of New York City, carry Albany and Buffalo, put in a strong enough—if not overwhelming—performance everywhere else, and win easily …”

Here is an alternative theory:  Cuomo already lost the 45-50% of the upstate vote.  He loses Westchester, Rockland and Nassau, all of which went GOP last year, and there is low turnout in NYC.  That adds up to Cuomo losing this fall.

Polling shows SAFE an issue

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The NY Post has an article on Rob Astorino which contains this nugget:

“… Astorino’s challenge to Cuomo will be built around what are being called “eight key issues’’ that polling has shown to be of real importance to voters. They are …   Upstate opposition to the governor’s anti-gun ownership “Safe Act,’’ which has been condemned in resolutions passed by all but two upstate counties …”

This contracts yesterday’s post on a NY Times story claiming Cuomo would attack Astorino on the issue.  Cuomo’s campaign must have similar poll data indicating it is a negative issue for him.