According to the #2 Republican in the State Senate:
“… [State Senator John DeFrancisco] believes there will be several close state Senate races throughout New York … “There’s a lot of things that could happen,” he said. “I think 90 percent of it will depend on voter turnout.” He’s heard claims made by Democrats that with Republican presidential candidate at the top of the ticket, turnout will be down for the GOP … Trump wasn’t DeFrancisco’s first choice, but he thinks the Manhattan real estate developer will have a positive impact on down ballot races. “If you look at the primaries, whether you agree with Trump or not, the fact is he brought in more Republican voters than have ever been cast in primary elections,” he said …”
You had good turnout for the Nassau special election and blew it.
“…”If we don’t get a good Republican turnout, we’re going to be in trouble,” he said. “If we do, I think we’re going to be in fine shape.” …”
With Congressman John Kato declining to endorse Trump and Richard Hanna saying he’ll vote for Hillary, it’s clear you’re in trouble.