Continuing with the David Weprin v. Bob Turner race, the Democrats have released their own internal polling which shows Weprin up by 8%. Some thoughts on this:
Weprin Leading and Nearing Majority Support
Democrat David Weprin currently leads Republican Bob Turner by an eight-point margin, 47% to 39%, with 14% still undecided in the special election contest.
Given the 3-1 enrollment advantage, he should have overwhelming support. The fact that even Democrats must acknowledge he only has a small lead underscores Weprin’s weakness.
Weprin Ahead Despite Being Less Known
Turner is familiar to 66% of voters in the district thanks to his previous run for the seat, with 40% rating him favorably and 26% unfavorably. Weprin is familiar to fewer voters (59%), with 35% rating him favorably and 24% unfavorably.
Voters don’t know who Weprin is? Bullshit. He ran for City Comptroller two years ago. He was in the City Council before heading to Albany. Plus there’s his brother Mark and his old man. He’s been in the public eye for years. Everybody knows who David Weprin is.
District Prefers Democrat as Representative
By a wide, 14-point margin, voters here prefer a generic Democratic candidate for Congress (46%) over a generic Republican candidate (32%).
Probably true, but given the voter enrollment a generic Democrat should be closer to 65% right out of the gate. Weprin is nowhere near there. He’s got serious problems and the Democrats cannot spin it otherwise.