{"id":9911,"date":"2014-03-04T08:40:42","date_gmt":"2014-03-04T13:40:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gunpoliticsny.com\/?p=9911"},"modified":"2014-03-04T08:40:42","modified_gmt":"2014-03-04T13:40:42","slug":"how-cuomo-can-lose","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.gunpoliticsny.com\/?p=9911","title":{"rendered":"How Cuomo can lose"},"content":{"rendered":"

Liz Benjamin<\/a> inadvertently shows how Gov. Cuomo can lose in November<\/a>:<\/p>\n

“… Roughly speaking, here’s how the vote is likely to break down in November: Upstate will count for from 45 percent to half of the vote on Election Day, while downstate (in this case, for argument\u2019s sake, everything south of Orange County) will make up the other half.\u00a0 The suburbs north of New York City will be very much in play if, as it appears will be the case, Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino<\/a> is the Republican candidate for governor.\u00a0 Cuomo<\/a> will get a cushion out of New York City, carry Albany and Buffalo, put in a strong enough\u2014if not overwhelming\u2014performance everywhere else, and win easily …”<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Here is an alternative theory:\u00a0 Cuomo already lost the 45-50% of the upstate vote.\u00a0 He loses Westchester, Rockland and Nassau, all of which went GOP last year, and there is low turnout in NYC.\u00a0 That adds up to Cuomo losing this fall.<\/p>\n