{"id":4533,"date":"2011-09-02T13:42:26","date_gmt":"2011-09-02T17:42:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gunpoliticsny.com\/?p=4533"},"modified":"2011-09-02T13:42:26","modified_gmt":"2011-09-02T17:42:26","slug":"not-believeable","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.gunpoliticsny.com\/?p=4533","title":{"rendered":"Not believeable"},"content":{"rendered":"

Continuing with the David Weprin<\/a> v. Bob Turner<\/a> race, the Democrats have released their own internal polling<\/a> which shows Weprin up by 8%. \u00a0Some thoughts on this:<\/p>\n

Weprin Leading and Nearing Majority Support<\/strong>
\nDemocrat David Weprin currently leads Republican Bob Turner by an eight-point margin, 47% to 39%, with 14% still undecided in the special election contest.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Given the 3-1 enrollment advantage, he should have overwhelming support. \u00a0The fact that even Democrats must acknowledge he only has a small lead underscores Weprin’s weakness.<\/p>\n

Weprin Ahead Despite Being Less Known<\/strong>
\nTurner is familiar to 66% of voters in the district thanks to his previous run for the seat, with 40% rating him favorably and 26% unfavorably. Weprin is familiar to fewer voters (59%), with 35% rating him favorably and 24% unfavorably.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Voters don’t know who Weprin is? \u00a0Bullshit. \u00a0He ran for City Comptroller two years ago. \u00a0He was in the City Council before heading to Albany. \u00a0Plus there’s his brother Mark<\/a> and his old man<\/a>. \u00a0He’s been in the public eye for years. \u00a0Everybody knows who David Weprin is.<\/p>\n

District Prefers Democrat as Representative<\/strong>
\nBy a wide, 14-point margin, voters here prefer a generic Democratic candidate for Congress (46%) over a generic Republican candidate (32%).<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Probably true, but given the voter enrollment a generic Democrat should be closer to 65% right out of the gate. \u00a0Weprin is nowhere near there. \u00a0He’s got serious problems and the Democrats cannot spin it otherwise.<\/p>\n