{"id":13620,"date":"2016-10-23T11:34:54","date_gmt":"2016-10-23T15:34:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gunpoliticsny.com\/?p=13620"},"modified":"2016-10-23T11:34:54","modified_gmt":"2016-10-23T15:34:54","slug":"state-rundown","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.gunpoliticsny.com\/?p=13620","title":{"rendered":"State rundown"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>RRH Elections has <a href=\"http:\/\/rrhelections.com\/index.php\/2016\/10\/21\/rrh-elections-2016-general-election-preview-series-part-1-northeast-legislatures\/\" target=\"_blank\">a good rundown of state legislative races<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Some additional commentary:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.latfor.state.ny.us\/maps\/2012s\/SD_map_rep_07.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">SD-7<\/a>: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.haber4newyork.com\" target=\"_blank\">Adam Haber<\/a> beats <a href=\"http:\/\/www.elainephillips.org\" target=\"_blank\">Elaine Phillips<\/a>.\u00a0 Democrat pick-up.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.latfor.state.ny.us\/maps\/2012s\/SD_map_rep_09.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">SD-9<\/a>: I don&#8217;t buy that it was just the <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BernieSanders\" target=\"_blank\">Bernie-boost<\/a> which helped incumbent <a href=\"http:\/\/www.toddkaminsky.com\" target=\"_blank\">Todd Kaminsky<\/a> win the special election earlier in the year. He beats <a href=\"http:\/\/www.chrismcgrathforsenate.com\" target=\"_blank\">Chris McGrath<\/a> in a rematch.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.latfor.state.ny.us\/maps\/2012s\/SD_map_rep_37.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">SD-37<\/a>: Republicans have this ongoing fantasy that they can take this seat from <a href=\"http:\/\/www.georgelatimer.com\" target=\"_blank\">George Latimer<\/a>. Not happening.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.latfor.state.ny.us\/maps\/2012s\/SD_map_rep_39.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">SD-39<\/a>: Incumbent <a href=\"http:\/\/www.larkinnysenate.com\" target=\"_blank\">Bill Larkin<\/a> is older than dirt and not in good health. Plus there has been an ongoing Democrat enrollment shift in the district. I think <a href=\"http:\/\/www.chriseachus.com\" target=\"_blank\">Chris Eachus<\/a> has a decent chance of defeating him this time around.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.latfor.state.ny.us\/maps\/2012s\/SD_map_rep_41.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">SD-41<\/a>: Incumbent <a href=\"http:\/\/www.sueserino.com\" target=\"_blank\">Sue Serino<\/a> is facing <a href=\"http:\/\/www.terrygipsonny.com\" target=\"_blank\">ex-State Senator Terry Gipson<\/a>, whom she beat back in &#8217;14. I see lots of signs and hear radio ads for her, not so much for Gipson. I think she keeps the seat.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.latfor.state.ny.us\/maps\/2012s\/SD_map_rep_60.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">SD-60<\/a>: Despite a heavy Democrat enrollment advantage, I think <a href=\"http:\/\/www.chrisjacobsforsenate.com\" target=\"_blank\">Chris Jacobs<\/a> will win.\u00a0 He should benefit from <a href=\"http:\/\/cityandstateny.com\/articles\/politics\/campaigns-and-elections\/ruling-allows-green-party-candidate-to-remain-on-sd60-ballot.html\" target=\"_blank\">a Green Party candidate<\/a> siphoning Democrat votes along with a <a href=\"http:\/\/buffalonews.com\/2016\/10\/22\/lawyer-says-ex-buffalo-deputy-mayor-casey-backs-firms-pay-play-allegation-brown\/\" target=\"_blank\">brewing corruption scandal<\/a>. Republican pick-up.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.latfor.state.ny.us\/maps\/2012a\/AD_map_rep_046.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">AD-46<\/a>: No chance of upset. Incumbent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/Pamela-Harris-State-Assembly-46th-District-1074640702569013\/\" target=\"_blank\">Pam Harris<\/a> wins easy.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.latfor.state.ny.us\/maps\/2012a\/AD_map_rep_097.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">AD-97<\/a>: No chance of upset. Incumbent <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ellenjaffee.com\" target=\"_blank\">Ellen Jaffee<\/a> wins easy.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.latfor.state.ny.us\/maps\/2012a\/AD_map_rep_099.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">AD-99<\/a>: Toss-up due to strong effort on the part of Republican challenger <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/NYforSchmitt\/\" target=\"_blank\">Colin Schmitt<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.latfor.state.ny.us\/maps\/2012a\/AD_map_rep_111.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">AD-111<\/a>: Incumbent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/Angelo4Assembly\/\" target=\"_blank\">Angelo Santabarbara<\/a> beats <a href=\"http:\/\/www.petevroman.com\" target=\"_blank\">Peter Vroman<\/a> again.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.latfor.state.ny.us\/maps\/2012a\/AD_map_rep_116.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">AD-116<\/a>: Toss-up.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul class=\"ssb_list_wrapper\"><li class=\"fb2\" style=\"width:135px\"><iframe src=\"\/\/www.facebook.com\/plugins\/like.php?href=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.gunpoliticsny.com%2F%3Fp%3D13620&amp;layout=button_count&amp;action=like&amp;show_faces=false&amp;share=true&amp;width=135&amp;height=21&amp;appId=307091639398582\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"border:none; overflow:hidden;  width:150px; height:21px;\" allowTransparency=\"true\"><\/iframe><\/li><li class=\"twtr\" style=\"width:90px\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/share\" class=\"twitter-share-button\" data-url=\"http:\/\/www.gunpoliticsny.com\/?p=13620\">&nbsp;<\/a><script>!function(d,s,id){var js,fjs=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],p=\/^http:\/.test(d.location)?'http':'https';if(!d.getElementById(id)){js=d.createElement(s);js.id=id;js.src=p+':\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js';fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js,fjs);}}(document, 'script', 'twitter-wjs');<\/script><\/li><li class=\"gplus\" style=\"width:68px\"><div class=\"g-plusone\" data-size=\"medium\" data-href=\"http:\/\/www.gunpoliticsny.com\/?p=13620\"><\/div><\/li><li class=\"ssb_linkedin\" style=\"width:64px\"><script src=\"\/\/platform.linkedin.com\/in.js\" type=\"text\/javascript\">lang: en_US<\/script><script type=\"IN\/Share\" data-url=\"http:\/\/www.gunpoliticsny.com\/?p=13620\" data-counter=\"right\"><\/script><\/li><\/ul>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>RRH Elections has a good rundown of state legislative races. Some additional commentary: SD-7: Adam Haber beats Elaine Phillips.\u00a0 Democrat pick-up. SD-9: I don&#8217;t buy that it was just the Bernie-boost which helped incumbent Todd Kaminsky win the special election earlier in the year. He beats Chris McGrath in a rematch. SD-37: Republicans have this [&hellip;]<\/p>\n<ul class=\"ssb_list_wrapper\"><li class=\"fb2\" style=\"width:135px\"><iframe src=\"\/\/www.facebook.com\/plugins\/like.php?href=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.gunpoliticsny.com%2F%3Fp%3D13620&amp;layout=button_count&amp;action=like&amp;show_faces=false&amp;share=true&amp;width=135&amp;height=21&amp;appId=307091639398582\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"border:none; overflow:hidden;  width:150px; height:21px;\" allowTransparency=\"true\"><\/iframe><\/li><li class=\"twtr\" style=\"width:90px\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/share\" class=\"twitter-share-button\" data-url=\"http:\/\/www.gunpoliticsny.com\/?p=13620\">&nbsp;<\/a><script>!function(d,s,id){var js,fjs=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],p=\/^http:\/.test(d.location)?'http':'https';if(!d.getElementById(id)){js=d.createElement(s);js.id=id;js.src=p+':\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js';fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js,fjs);}}(document, 'script', 'twitter-wjs');<\/script><\/li><li class=\"gplus\" style=\"width:68px\"><div class=\"g-plusone\" data-size=\"medium\" data-href=\"http:\/\/www.gunpoliticsny.com\/?p=13620\"><\/div><\/li><li class=\"ssb_linkedin\" style=\"width:64px\"><script src=\"\/\/platform.linkedin.com\/in.js\" type=\"text\/javascript\">lang: en_US<\/script><script type=\"IN\/Share\" data-url=\"http:\/\/www.gunpoliticsny.com\/?p=13620\" data-counter=\"right\"><\/script><\/li><\/ul>","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[32],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13620","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-elections-2016"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.gunpoliticsny.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13620","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.gunpoliticsny.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.gunpoliticsny.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.gunpoliticsny.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.gunpoliticsny.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=13620"}],"version-history":[{"count":18,"href":"http:\/\/www.gunpoliticsny.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13620\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13638,"href":"http:\/\/www.gunpoliticsny.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13620\/revisions\/13638"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.gunpoliticsny.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=13620"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.gunpoliticsny.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=13620"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.gunpoliticsny.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=13620"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}