September 2011 – Page 2 – Gun Politics New York

Election aftermath

On: September 14, 2011 By: admin

Here are the results from yesterdays’ elections in the few races I’ve been following:

Bob Turner humiliated David Weprin, winning CD-9 54-46% in a district with a huge Democrat enrollment advantage. There is no way the Democrats can put a spin on this.
Endorsed candidate Gregory Johnson lost his race in AD-116.
Mount Vernon Mayor Clinton Young lost the Democrat primary. Young is a member of Mayors Against Illegal Guns coalition. He is the 3rd MAIG member we’ve been able to knock out in an election.
Albany County Legislator Wanda Willingham lost the Democrat primary. In 2009, Winningham was one of the sponsors of the proposed Local Law “A” ammunition records and registration bill.

A side effect of Bob Turner’s victory is that now the Democrats have to pick another Congressional seat to give up. New York is slated to lose two Congressional seats next year due to redistricting. It was thought that one would be an upstate Republican-held seat and one would be a downstate Democrat-held seat, District 9. With Turner’s win, the Democrats will have to pick another incumbent district for elimination. Carolyn McCarthy’s seat in District 4 was mentioned in the past.

Weprin meltdown

On: September 12, 2011 By: admin

David Weprin’s Congressional campaign is having a meltdown. He has not caught up with Bob Turner in the polls and Democrats realize they’re likely to blow this race. I just got off the phone with one of our guys in the district and he’s getting flooded with calls from rabbis in the heavily orthodox district and they’re all pushing for Turner.

Brady’s are hiring

On: September 10, 2011 By: admin

The Brady Campaign is looking for a new CEO. They posted a job ad on their Facebook group.

Turner clearly leading

On: September 9, 2011 By: admin

Further humiliation for David Weprin and the Democrats: latest Sienna polling shows Bob Turner up by 6 points. DCC is dropping $500K into the race to save Weprin’s bacon. NRA apparently sent out orange postcards on behalf of Turner, although this is not listed on the PVF website.

Brooklyn Politics offers their opinion on why Turner is leading.

Turner ahead in latest poll

On: September 7, 2011 By: admin

Another poll for CD-9 shows Bob Turner leading David Weprin by 4 points. That’s unheard of in the district which last elected a Republican in the 1920s. Worse (for Weprin) is that Dov Hikind endorsed Turner. Democrats are nearing PSH levels with a new fundraiser mailer attacking Turner.

Appeal coming

On: September 7, 2011 By: admin

Some more on the Sullivan Law being upheld in court over at No Lawyers – Only Guns and Money, “Damn! Judge Rules For State In Kachalsky v. Cacace.”

Here is a link to the decision. I have been told it will be appealed.

Sullivan Law constitutional

On: September 6, 2011 By: admin

District court finds the Sullivan Law is constitutional. See more at Of Arms and the Law, “District Ct decision in Kachalsky.” The decision is really not surprising.

Weprin worried

On: September 6, 2011 By: admin

Democrats are clearly worried that David Weprin is going to blow it in CD-9. Obama, Schumer and Cuomo are all getting into the act. Despite his public support for more gun control, he’s received nothing from the Brady’s or NYAGV demonstrating again their lack of political substance.

Perry’s position statement

On: September 5, 2011 By: admin

Rick Perry stating his position on guns:

Not believeable

On: September 2, 2011 By: admin

Continuing with the David Weprin v. Bob Turner race, the Democrats have released their own internal polling which shows Weprin up by 8%. Some thoughts on this:

Weprin Leading and Nearing Majority Support
Democrat David Weprin currently leads Republican Bob Turner by an eight-point margin, 47% to 39%, with 14% still undecided in the special election contest.

Given the 3-1 enrollment advantage, he should have overwhelming support. The fact that even Democrats must acknowledge he only has a small lead underscores Weprin’s weakness.

Weprin Ahead Despite Being Less Known
Turner is familiar to 66% of voters in the district thanks to his previous run for the seat, with 40% rating him favorably and 26% unfavorably. Weprin is familiar to fewer voters (59%), with 35% rating him favorably and 24% unfavorably.

Voters don’t know who Weprin is? Bullshit. He ran for City Comptroller two years ago. He was in the City Council before heading to Albany. Plus there’s his brother Mark and his old man. He’s been in the public eye for years. Everybody knows who David Weprin is.

District Prefers Democrat as Representative
By a wide, 14-point margin, voters here prefer a generic Democratic candidate for Congress (46%) over a generic Republican candidate (32%).

Probably true, but given the voter enrollment a generic Democrat should be closer to 65% right out of the gate. Weprin is nowhere near there. He’s got serious problems and the Democrats cannot spin it otherwise.